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MarbeWeather, Marbella (2026)

17/10/2026

Hello! After several months away, MarbeWeather is back in action as the weather starts getting interesting again. Since MarbeWeather is a personal project with no monetization whatsoever, and due to the heavy workload during high season, I take a break over the summer months—which also happens to coincide with much more stable and predictable weather.

However, once autumn sets in, when the weather becomes more chaotic and weather alerts become more frequent, we return with our weekly updates! We’ll also be posting during key, single-event situations, like the one we are experiencing right now.

Due to a cold air mass at high altitudes currently moving through our atmosphere (the now well-known DANA, or isolated depression at high levels), severe storms are developing—though, keep in mind, in very localized areas. Therefore, this is the classic scenario where the heavens might be opening up just a few kilometers away, while hardly a drop falls where you are.

Nevertheless, the situation will gradually become more widespread. By Sunday morning, starting in the early hours, rain is expected to be steady and intense along the Costa del Sol, particularly in the Marbella area. Still, please exercise caution, as this is a highly unstable and erratic setup, meaning affected areas and official warnings may shift.

We are currently under a yellow weather alert, but it wouldn't be surprising if this is upgraded to a orange alert later today or during tomorrow morning.

As always, stay safe and have a great weekend!

MarbeWeather ⛅

22/05/2026

Hi everyone! After a short break from the weather updates, I’m here to share the seasonal and stable weather conditions we can expect starting right now, from today, May 22nd, onwards.

Up until now, we’ve had an unusually cool May—by Costa del Sol standards, of course; I know an Eskimo would laugh at us—but that is noticeably changing. So far, the influence of northerly winds has kept both temperatures and humidity quite low and contained for this time of year. But now, summer is officially settling in.

If you picture a mental map, low-pressure systems currently dominate the Atlantic, but they are no longer reaching our latitudes. This low-pressure system, which rotates counterclockwise, draws air from south to north along its eastern flank. In other words, it scoops up a mass of air from the south and flings it northward, bringing African heat straight to our shores.

Because of this, we will see a rapid spike in temperatures over the next few days, with inland areas reaching 30°C or even higher. This won't happen just yet on the coast, and there is a very maritime explanation for this: the sea is currently acting as a giant thermostat, buffering the African heat. Since the Mediterranean water is still cold from the winter, it acts like a refrigerator, cooling down that incoming warm air from below.

What does this cause? It means the temperature rise right by the beach will be much gentler at first. However, as that warm air cools down over the water, the ambient humidity gradually builds up. That's why you’ll notice that while the actual temperatures aren't that high on the coast yet, this surge in humidity creates a muggy, sticky feeling. The thermal sensation has already started to climb, and despite the inevitable ups and downs, we can safely say we already have one foot in summer.

Last year, we started seeing unusually high temperatures as early as late March and throughout April. This year, however, aside from an isolated episode of a few days in March, we’ve had cool temperatures right up until now. The Mediterranean climate has always, ALWAYS been irregular and fickle, easily alternating between frequent rains and periods of drought, or switching to anomalous temperatures for the season.

That being said, the sunshine and warm temperatures (without reaching extreme heatwaves, for now) are seemingly here to stay for the season, barring any anomalous episode that might still pop up.

We'll keep you posted! 😉

04/05/2026

🌞 Weather Forecast – This Week (May 4–10) 🌞

Source: AEMET & Meteociel

Monday 4: ☀️ | Low 14°C | High 24°C

Tuesday 5: 🌤️ | Low 13°C | High 26°C (30°C in Malaga!)

Wednesday 6: 🌤️ | Low 13°C | High 25°C

Thursday 7: ⛅ | Low 14°C | High 22°C

Friday 8: 🌦️ | Low 15°C | High 21°C

Weekend: 🌧️ | Low 14°C | High 20°C

⚠️ Heads up, folks!

The Heat Peak & The "Terral" Effect

We are starting the week under a strong high-pressure ridge. Tuesday will be the warmest day, with temperatures reaching 26°C in Marbella and potentially 30°C in Malaga city. This spike is driven by westerly winds that create a localized "Terral" effect, making it feel like mid-summer for a brief window.

The "Penguin Paradox" & UV Protection

Despite the high midday temperatures, early mornings remain fresh at around 13°C. Layered clothing is still your best ally this week. Also, keep in mind the UV Index is at Category 7 (High). Don't let the sea breeze deceive you—sunscreen is highly recommended to avoid the "lobster" look.

The Arrival of the Taró

During the midweek transition, keep an eye out for the Taró. This typical local sea fog occurs when warm air from Africa travels over the cooler Mediterranean waters. It’s a fascinating sight that can briefly blanket the coast in a cool, dense mist before the sun burns it off.

The Atlantic Shift

The stability ends on Thursday as an Atlantic trough moves in. We expect a significant 10°C drop in max temperatures and a 95% probability of rain by the weekend. It’s a much-needed "reset" for our local reservoirs and gardens.

In short: Enjoy the sun and the "photosynthesis" while it lasts! We have a summer-style start followed by a refreshing, rainy weekend.

Have a wonderful week!

MarbeWeather ⛅

12/04/2026

🌞Weather Forecast – This Week (April 13–19) 🌞
Source: AEMET & Meteociel

Monday 13: 🌤️ | Low 11°C | High 22°C
Tuesday 14: ☀️ | Low 11°C | High 23°C
Wednesday 15: 🌤️ | Low 14°C | High 25°C
Thursday 16: ☀️ | Low 15°C | High 23°C
Friday 17: 🌤️ | Low 16°C | High 24°C
Weekend: ☀️ | Low 17°C | High 24°C

⚠️ Heads up, folks!

The umbrellas can stay in the closet for now. ⛱️🚫

What’s happening?
We have a massive "bridge" of high pressure stretching across the Mediterranean and protecting the Iberian Peninsula. Meanwhile, there’s a massive, angry-looking storm sitting way up near Iceland and the UK, but luckily for us, it's being blocked.

The Highlights:
Sunshine & Stability: We are looking at a very stable week. Expect mostly blue skies with just some high, wispy clouds passing through, especially on Monday and Wednesday.

Temperature Boost: Things are heating up! By Wednesday, we could see highs of 25°C. It’s that tricky time of year where you leave the house in a jacket in the morning feeling like a penguin, and by 2:00pm you’re sweating like you’re in a sauna. 🐧🔥

UV Alert: Look at the index on the AEMET charts—it’s hitting 7 and 8 (High/Very High). Please, don't be that tourist who turns into a lobster on their first day. Sunscreen is your best friend! 🦞🧴

The Weekend: Looking solid. Stable temperatures, clear skies, and very light winds. Perfect for a terrace, the beach, or a drive along the coast.

In short: A "boring" week for a weather geek who loves storms, but a glorious week for everyone else. Photosynthesis is officially back in business! 🌿☀️

P.S. As always, remember this is the coast. If a bit of sea mist (taró) decides to show up uninvited, it's just the Mediterranean showing off!

In the image, Ronda. I like Ronda very much.

Have a fantastic week, stay hydrated, and enjoy the sun!
MarbeWeather ⛅

Sponsored by MarbeTaxi – Your reliable ride, rain or shine 🚕

07/04/2026

🌞Weather Forecast – This Week (Apr 06–Apr 12)🌞
Source: AEMET & Meteociel

Monday: ☁️ | Low 16°C | High 23°C
Tuesday: ⛈️ | Low 14°C | High 23°C (Thunderstorm risk!)
Wednesday: 🌧️ | Low 14°C | High 19°C
Thursday: 🌦️ | Low 12°C | High 22°C
Friday: 🌦️ | Low 15°C | High 23°C
Weekend: 🌧️ | Low 13°C | High 22°C

⚠️ Heads up, folks!

It looks like the weather is getting a bit complicated this week on the Coast. After a few sunny days, the Atlantic is sending a front our way and things are going to get pretty unstable, so it's better not to let your guard down.

What’s the setup?

If we look at the European maps (ECMWF), the Azores High has pulled back quite a bit to the west. This leaves the door open for Atlantic storms to head straight toward the Mediterranean, so we’re going to have a mix of sun and clouds passing through these days.

The Week’s Menu:

Monday & Tuesday: We’re starting off warm, even higher than usual for this time of year. But keep an eye out, because by Tuesday afternoon the chance of rain jumps way up (between 70% and 100%). In areas like Estepona and Marbella, some thunderstorms are very likely.

Wednesday: Wednesday is looking like the grayest day of the bunch. Temperatures are going to drop quite a bit, staying around 18-19°C for the high, and the rain will be more constant. A good day to stay indoors.

Thursday & Friday: Things improve a little here. We’ll probably see the sun again and temperatures will climb back up to 23°C, although there will still be some variable cloud cover.

The Weekend: It doesn't look great for those wanting beach time. The models show another front coming in on Saturday and Sunday, so we’ll most likely close out the week with more rain.

The "Mud" Factor:
With the westerly and southwesterly winds we’re expecting, it’s very possible that some "calima" (dust) will arrive. If just a few drops fall, you know the drill: mud rain and dirty cars.

Summary: In short, a bit of a back-and-forth week. Keep an umbrella handy just in case and try not to make plans that depend 100% on the sun, because the weather is going to be changing every five minutes.

Have a great week and stay patient with the rain!

MarbeWeather ⛅
Sponsored by MarbeTaxi – Your reliable ride, rain or shine. 🚕

30/03/2026

🌞 Weather Forecast – This Week (Mar 30–Apr 05) 🌞
Source: AEMET & Meteociel

📅 Monday: ☀️☀️ | 🌡️ Low 9°C | High 19°C
📅 Tuesday: ☀️☀️ | 🌡️ Low 10°C | High 22°C
📅 Wednesday: ☀️🌤️ | 🌡️ Low 11°C | High 21°C
📅 Thursday: 🌤️ | 🌡️ Low 13°C | High 26°C
📅 Friday: ☀️ | 🌡️ Low 13°C | High 24°C
📅 Weekend: ☀️ | 🌡️ Low 13°C | High 22°C

⚠️ Heads up, folks!
One of the most perfect weeks of the year, weather-wise, to be on the Costa del Sol. If you’re here right now, congratulations. While the Costa del Sol is known for its great climate throughout the year (well, there are exceptions...), this week is, in my opinion, the perfect example of the best weather we can enjoy.

What’s the setup?
Looking at the maps, we have a massive, beefy Anticyclone (High Pressure) parking itself right over the Iberian Peninsula. It’s acting like a giant invisible shield, pushing all the Atlantic storms way up north toward the UK and Scandinavia. For us on the Costa del Sol, that means "wall-to-wall" blue skies and a steady climb in temperatures.

The Thermal Rollercoaster:

Early Week: We start with fresh mornings (keep the light jacket handy for your morning coffee), but afternoons will be glorious.

The "Mini-Summer" Peak: Keep an eye on Thursday. As the high pressure shifts slightly, we might see some warmer air compressed over us. Some spots in the province, especially inland valleys and protected parts of the coast, could flirt with 26°C or 27°C. It’s basically May weather showing up a month early.

The Breeze: Winds will be mostly light and variable. We might see some easterly components (Levante) mid-week, but nothing that’s going to ruin a beach walk.

Any drama?
Honestly? Hardly any.

Clouds: You might see a few "decorative" clouds on Thursday/Friday (as seen in the Estepona and Malaga forecasts), but they are just there for the sunset photos. Rain probability is hovering near 0% for the entire week.

Mist/Fog: With these cool nights and warming days, don't be surprised if you see some morning mist clinging to the shoreline—that classic "steamy mirror" effect we talk about—but it’ll burn off faster than you can find your sunglasses.

In short: It’s a spectacular week to be alive in Malaga. Low humidity, crisp air, and plenty of Vitamin D. If you’re allergic to the sun... well, I’ve got nothing for you this week!

Have a wonderful week, enjoy the light, and remember: today is the best day to start enjoying your life.

MarbeWeather ⛅

23/02/2026

🌞 Weather Forecast – This Week (Feb 23–Mar 1) 🌞
Source: AEMET & Meteociel

📅 Monday: ☀️🌤️ | 🌡️ Low 12°C | High 21°C
📅 Tuesday: 🌫️🌥️ | 🌡️ Low 12°C | High 20°C
📅 Wednesday: 🌥️🌤️ | 🌡️ Low 13°C | High 20°C
📅 Thursday: ☀️ | 🌡️ Low 13°C | High 21°C
📅 Friday: ☀️ | 🌡️ Low 12°C | High 20°C
📅 Weekend: 🌤️ | 🌡️ Low 11°C | High 19°C

⚠️ Heads up, folks!

Overall, we will continue with warm temperatures for this time of year (above average) with stable conditions, high pressure in control, and mostly calm winds.

However, we may see two familiar features around here:

Tuesday: Light Atlantic influence continues, and we are expecting African winds bringing some maritime humidity and a bit of Saharan dust. When this warm air moves over the still-cool Mediterranean (currently around 15°C), it causes surface condensation — pretty much like a "steamy bathroom mirror effect." In simple terms: fog.

Here in Malaga, this type of fog is locally known as "Taro." It is more likely toward the western Costa del Sol, and if it forms, it should not be particularly intense.

Wednesday: Skies may look a little hazy due to calima — fine Saharan dust currently affecting the Canary Islands that is expected to move closer to us. Again, nothing major, just slightly dusty skies.

Weekend: Northwest winds should clear the dust from the atmosphere. This may bring a small drop in temperatures and a few more clouds, but conditions will remain generally pleasant.

In the image: Saharan dust forecast for Wednesday.

Have a wonderful week!
MarbeWeather ⛅

16/02/2026

🌞 Weather Forecast – This Week (Feb 16–Feb 22) 🌞
Source: AEMET & Meteociel

📅 Monday: ☀️☀️ | 🌡️ Low 10°C | High 20°C
📅 Tuesday: ☀️☀️ | 🌡️ Low 11°C | High 22°C
📅 Wednesday: ☀️🌤️ | 🌡️ Low 11°C | High 21°C
📅 Thursday: 🌤️ | 🌡️ Low 10°C | High 19°C
📅 Friday: ☀️ | 🌡️ Low 9°C | High 18°C
📅 Weekend: ☀️ | 🌡️ Low 12°C | High 19°C

⚠️ Heads up, folks!
As we hinted yesterday, let’s be crystal clear: this week is going to be a total sun-fest. No drama, no surprises, at least not weather-related ones!

After a gray and soggy week (especially that Friday wash-out), it’s finally time to ditch the umbrellas. But a word of caution: don't get too carried away. We’ve all been living with "vampire skin" in the shade lately, and at this latitude, the sun is already strong enough to give you a nasty sting if you overdo it.

What’s the setup?
We’ve got a massive High Pressure system calling the shots. Around midweek, the anticyclone will nudge slightly west into the Atlantic, letting some northwesterly breezes slip through. It won’t ruin the party, but it might trim the temperatures down a notch so we don't forget it's still February.

What happens when the High sits right on top of us?

- Low humidity
- Crisp nights
- Gorgeous afternoons: Pleasantly warm for the season
- Wall-to-wall blue skies

Apart from Wednesday and Thursday, when we might see a few stray clouds, the sunshine is going to be the undisputed ruler of the week. In short: total stability and photosynthesis in full force.

P.S. I don’t envy anyone allergic to certain plants… this spring could feel like Armageddon for them 😬

Happy week everyone!. And enjoy your lives! Starting today. Tomorrow is already too late.

MarbeWeather ⛅

15/02/2026

Yellow Alert: Extreme Happiness ahead next week! ⚠️😊🎉

The full forecast will be ready in just a few hours, but I can already tell you: it’s going to be a week of wall-to-wall sunshine and lovely temperatures. About time! ☀️🕶️🥳

09/02/2026

🌞 Weather Forecast – This Week (Feb 09–Feb 15) 🌞
Source: AEMET & Meteociel

📅 Monday: ⛈️🌧️ | 🌡️ Low 13°C | High 21°C
📅 Tuesday: ☁️🌥️ | 🌡️ Low 16°C | High 21°C
📅 Wednesday: ☁️🌥️ | 🌡️ Low 15°C | High 20°C
📅 Thursday: ☁️ | 🌡️ Low 14°C | High 21°C
📅 Friday: 🌧️ | 🌡️ Low 12°C | High 18°C
📅 Weekend: 🌦️ | 🌡️ Low 9°C | High 18°C

⚠️ Heads up, folks!
After weeks of rain and grey skies with barely a glimpse of sunshine, I’ve come to the conclusion that during the nuclear winter that wiped out the dinosaurs, they didn’t go extinct because of lack of food… but because of depression

This week won’t be as wild as last week, but we’re still a bit away from fully enjoying those sun rays. Grey skies and the threat of rain will persist throughout the week, although rain is more likely inland rather than on the coast. If any rain does reach us, it will be very light and local.

Temperatures will remain mild — even relatively warm — thanks to easterly winds, with no polar air influence. Most of the rainfall will stay further north, so it should barely affect the Costa del Sol.

The annoying wind will stick with us all week, and around Friday we’ll see another North Atlantic system moving in, bringing cooler temperatures and more widespread rain — nothing alarming. After that, the sun looks set to make a majestic comeback for a few days ☀️

We’re allergic to forecasts beyond 5 days, but it does look like there’s light at the end of the tunnel. A few unsettled days left, but no danger ahead.

Have a great week!
MarbeWeather 🌤️

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