30/10/2021
WEATHER UPDATE - 4 NOV 2021, FRIDAY
AVOID TREKS
AVOID ROAD TRIPS TO FAR OFF REGIONS
AVOID ROAD TRIPS TO LADAKH
AVOID ROAD TRIPS TO CERTAIN PARTS OF HIMACHAL.
IF you are desperate for a Trek, trek from Mandi to Manali, or Kullu to Manali,
IF you are desperate for a road trip, drive from Delhi to Manali.
Guys, keep a check on this WD,
this appears to be the first big WD (Western Disturbance) approaching this season.
If you see the extent of it, shown by the large yellow marking,
it generally turns out to bring snowfall over a large area of Himalayas. It is closely followed by another area of snow and rain right behind it, so the result can be a few days of snowfall.
Most likely by 5 Nov, Sat, the front part of this WD should be over the Nothern Parts of Himalayas, covering Kashmir Valley,
and gradually as the WD moves forward, by 6 Nov, large parts of Ladakh, and Himachal will get affected. We will see how strong it is when it arrives, so that we know how much of Uttarakhand will get affected.
If you are in Ladakh on a road trip, and your plan is to return via Manali, then you have a big problem at Baralacha La, and even Sarchu, as this pass gets more snowfall then Rohtang, but now Rohtang is not a problem cause of Atul Tunnel, however, if you get stuck on the other side of Baralacha La, or at Baralacha La, you in serious trouble, so get out before 3 Nov.
KINDLY AVOID TREKS NO MATTER WHO TELLS YOU WHAT.
Hope you guys remember what happened two weeks ago, many lives were lost on treks.
two weeks ago when snowfall came in Oct, I know of a friend who has already had to leave his car behind, and was rescued by Air Force helicopters, along with many others.
Depending on conditions around the world, this WD could speed up and arrive a day earlier, or later, can get wild, or even reduce in intensity. So keep a check on it.
If you really wish to enjoy the SNOWFALL from this WD, get to your destination latest by 4 Nov, and dont be in a hurry to come back. Give Administration time to clear road and landslides. Dont start crying for help. Help is not going to be around the corner.
Stay Safe.
Happy Landings.
Credit :- Ramesh Tahlan
