26/02/2020
Corona Virus - How Real Figures Are!
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to date, WHO has reported that there are 79,300 total infected with COVID-19. Of these, the vast majority, 77,000 in China, the vast majority in Wuhan.
Wuhan has a population of 11 million. All 77,000 were infected in Wuhan.
77,000 / 11,000,000 = 0.007
Ilitiga 0.7% are infected by Wuhan residents.
99.3% Wuhana is NOT a virus. In the city where the epidemic started!
Also, let's not forget that over 10,000 people have become infected with the virus in the meantime.
So the CURRENT number of patients is not 79,300 but 79,300 - 10,000 cured (and minus 2,500 deaths), which is currently just under 70,000 infected, not 79,300.
But what about virus mortality?
Well, if you are over 80 and infected with the virus, the chance of dying is 14.8%. Which means that 85.2% will heal.
If you are 50-60 years old, you have a 1.3% chance of dying if you are infected with the virus.
For those under 40, the chance is 0.2%. therefore, 99.8% of young people under 40 who become infected will recover.
BUT !!!!!!!!!!!!!
This is only if you become infected. The chance of getting infected is, based on a nearly 3 month outbreak at the source of the infection, Wuhan - 0.7%.
So a 99.3% chance you will never see the virus.
These percentages are only 0.7%, so if you are 85, you have a 0.7% chance of picking up the virus at all, so if you pick it up you have a 14.8% chance of dying from it, or a total of 0.103% chance of dying of the virus. This means that you have a 99.897% chance of NOT Dying of this virus.
For a 45-year-old, those two chances multiplied by 0.0028% that coronavirus would kill them. And 99.9972 that it won't.
For a 35-year-old, the chance of dying from this miracle is 0.0014%. And that they won't die is 99.9986%
Beware, it's 0.7% to get it at all and 0.2% to die from it if you're under 40.
THE STORY POINT: THE DANGER THERE IS. But it's nowhere near as big as the newspaper says.
Incidentally, China has a population of 1,386,000,000. 77,000 were infected. At 1.4 billion.
This is 0.0055% of all Chinese.
Again, 0.0055% of all Chinese are infected with this virus. This means that in the country where the virus comes from, 99.9945% of the population is NOT virus.
That means if you put 10,000 Chinese in, 5 of them will have the virus and 9,995 won't ... "
So this whole "drama" doesn't really look that scary.
