02/21/2026
2026 HURRICANE SEASON đ Hard to believe, but it's now 100 days away. The early outlook is for the number of storms to be closer to average or slightly above average. (Itâs also February and by no means a lock or guarantee this early).
Long-range models are showing that the current La Niña is projected to flip to El Niño by the peak of the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Historically, if that occurs, that would create higher wind shear across the Tropical Atlantic and CaribbeanâŠhelping to suppress or lower tropical activity. Stating the obvious, that doesnât mean you canât have hurricanes or US landfalls. Remember, itâs about impact, not just the number of storms.
Something weâll have to watch would be the potential for warmer than average water temperatures across the Atlantic BasinâŠwhich could counteract the influence from El Niño and provide additional fuel for storms.
Although I wonât be on TV this hurricane season, that doesnât mean I wonât be with you. In fact, itâll be the opposite. Iâll be able to provide even more updates than ever before on multiple online and digital platforms. You can always trust me to be with you every step of the way all season long 24/7 with no hype, just the facts. In the meantime, continue to enjoy the off-season!
- Matt Devitt Weather