05/15/2026
Hello South Fork!
Summer season is upon us, and far earlier than expected. After a critically warm and dry winter last year, we've been faced with an even warmer and dryer one this year. To put it into perspective: we were dead last for moisture this year until our recent little shot of snow, which moved us up to… second to dead last. I'd hate to have to make a living on the difference.
I don't want this to be doom and gloom, but I want to be upfront and real with you. We are CRITICALLY dry. We've already had two large incidents in the valley and dozens of smaller ones, and we've had the benefit of available resources and quick response to squash both of them.
Here's where we stand:
The Rio crested two months early. I can't find records to compare this to. We crested in March; it should be early June. I'll leave that there.
I've been monitoring the RAWS stations near us. Fuel moistures have been flirting with what we typically see in August.
Del Norte had a close call in the timber last month that we were fortunate to stop at about 3 acres.
Now, the monsoons COULD arrive, rain all summer, and we wind up in excellent shape. The mid to long range forecast looks okay-ish, but we all know a broken clock is right twice a day.
It all comes together to form one big picture: fire season is really early. The fuels are dry, receptive, and available to burn. Things could change, but fire isn't a monthly analysis. It's an hourly, "right now" hazard.
PLEASE use caution and good old common sense when using fire for camping and cooking. Pay attention to local forecasts. If you need to, call our station at 719-873-1030 option 3 and talk to one of us for a while.
We aren't saying there's a burn ban yet; that'll be determined by a group of peers after a longer data set. But we do ask you to burn responsibly, and help keep our wildland team unemployed in our district.